Dr. Sanem Sergici is a principal in The Brattle Group’s Boston, MA office with expertise in electricity markets and applied econometrics.
At Brattle, the focus of Dr. Sergici’s work has been on assisting electric utilities, regulators, market operators, and technology firms in their strategic questions related to energy efficiency, demand response, distributed generation, and understanding behavior of electricity prosumers. Dr. Sergici has been at the forefront of the design and analysis of dynamic pricing, enabling technology, and behavior-based energy efficiency programs in the North America.
Dr. Sergici has completed numerous resource planning projects that involved development of scenarios and strategies for electric systems to meet long-range electric demand while considering the growth of renewable energy, energy efficiency, and other demand-side resources. She also has significant expertise in development of load forecasting models; ratemaking for electric utilities; and energy litigation. Most recently, in the context of the New York Reforming the Energy Vision (NYREV) Initiative, Dr. Sergici has been studying the incentives required for and the impacts of incorporating large quantities of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) including energy efficiency, demand response, solar PVs, and energy storage in New York.
Dr. Sergici is a frequent presenter on the economic analysis of DERs and regularly publishes in academic and industry journals. She received her Ph.D. in Applied Economics from Northeastern University in the fields of applied econometrics and industrial organization.
Prepared a measurement and verification guideline document for an energy efficiency program vendor who is active in the energy efficiency and behavior based program space. The guideline document included a detailed section on sampling selection for statistically valid and detectable program impact results.
Designed and evaluated the Smart Energy Pricing (SEP) pilot program for three consecutive years. The pilot was designed to quantify the impacts of critical peak pricing (CPP) and peak time rebates (PTR) on residential customer consumption patterns. Conducted an econometric analysis to estimate demand systems and predict substitution and daily price elasticities for participating customers. Using the parameters of the demand equations, quantified demand, energy, and bill impacts associated with the programs. Impacts of the socio-demographic characteristics of the participants as well as their ownership of enabling technologies were separately identified on the demand response of the program participants.
Co-authored the State’s Annual Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). This effort involved development of scenarios and strategies for an electric system to meet long-range electric demand while considering the growth of renewable energy, energy efficiency, other demand-side resources. Led the development of demand side management and emerging technology resource strategies and analyses involving these resources.
For the California Parties, provided witness with litigation support and testimony regarding manipulation of electric power and natural gas prices in the western U.S. during 2000-01. The proceeding before the FERC involved Enron, Dynegy, Mirant, Reliant, Williams, Powerex, and many other suppliers in the U.S. and Canada.
For an electric utility in the Southeast, reviewed load forecasting models for residential and commercial customer classes. Assessed the accuracy and validity of the models by reviewing the historic and forecast period inputs to the model; model specification; in-sample and out-of-sample accuracy statistics; and incorporation of DSM impacts to the model, among many others. Also conducted an analysis using the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) data to determine the forecast errors during pre and post-recession periods.